Modelización del sector turístico y simulación de estrategias mediante dinámica de sistemasaplicación al Agarbe portugués

Résumé

Tourism destination management is an increasingly complex task. Traditional research in tourism destination management has tended to use a reductionist approach in order to monitor certain flow variables or to measure discrete relationships between variables. The limitations of this approach in research are now apparent, as tourism development has a decisive influence of many elements within a destination, reinforcing the need for a new approach to research in tourism destination management. As tourism is a complex open system, an overview of the systems dynamics methodology is provided, leading to the proposal of a dynamic model suited for the strategic management of tourism destinations. This dynamic model makes it possible to experiment with diverse strategies and observe their impacts over time, upon the system�s components. Hopefully, this will facilitate the efforts of tourism destination administrators to achieve desired levels of sustainability, based on a fair representation of the real system.