Previsión y seguimiento de las cuentas económicas del Sector Públicoaspectos generales y aplicación al caso de las Administraciones Públicas españolas

Resumo

While fiscal forecasting and monitoring has its roots in the accountability of goverments for the use of public funds in democracias, the Maastricht Treaty and Growth Pact have significantly increased interest in budgetary forecasts in Europe. Fiscal forecasts are at the heart of the EU multilateral budgetary surveillance. In view of the increased prominence and sensitivity of budgetary forecasts, which may lead to them being contaminated by strategic and political factors, this work reviews the main issues in fiscal forecasting from a practitioner�s perspective and at the same time, it provides monitoring and forecasting tools for fiscal public data.